Tachiai estimate, since 2016 — not an official ranking.
Only 1 comparable case since 2016 (need 8 for a range). Treat this as a thin sample, not a forecast.
- Y1
- O1
- S1
- K1
- M1
- M8
- M17
- J1
- J14
Y1 now · median Y2 · typical Y2. Higher on the sheet is left.
Outcome buckets
sample: since 2016, 1 case
- Promote0%
- Same band100%
- Demote0%
Next rank
sample: since 2016, 1 case
- Y2100%