Tachiai estimate, since 2016 — not an official ranking.
Only 7 comparable cases since 2016 (need 8 for a range). Treat this as a thin sample, not a forecast.
- Y1
- O1
- S1
- K1
- M1
- M8
- M17
- J1
- J14
S2 now · median M3 · typical M3–M4. Higher on the sheet is left.
Outcome buckets
sample: since 2016, 7 cases
- Promote0%
- Same band0%
- Demote100%
Next rank
sample: since 2016, 7 cases
- M228.6%
- M342.9%
- M428.6%