Tachiai estimate, since 2016 — not an official ranking.
Only 7 comparable cases since 2016 (need 8 for a range). Treat this as a thin sample, not a forecast.
- Y1
- O1
- S1
- K1
- M1
- M8
- M17
- J1
- J14
O3 now · median O1 · typical O1–O2. Higher on the sheet is left.
Outcome buckets
sample: since 2016, 7 cases
- Promote0%
- Same band85.7%
- Demote14.3%
- Kadoban survival85.7%
Next rank
sample: since 2016, 7 cases
- O171.4%
- O214.3%
- S114.3%