Tachiai estimate, since 2016 — not an official ranking. Exact rank matches were thin, so this includes neighboring numbers (±1).
Only 7 comparable cases since 2016 (need 8 for a range). Treat this as a thin sample, not a forecast.
- Y1
- O1
- S1
- K1
- M1
- M8
- M17
- J1
- J14
M18 now · median M11 · typical M10–M12. Higher on the sheet is left.
Outcome buckets
sample: since 2016, 7 cases
- Promote100%
- Same band0%
- Demote0%
Next rank
sample: since 2016, 7 cases
- M914.3%
- M1028.6%
- M1128.6%
- M1214.3%
- M1314.3%