Tachiai estimate, since 2016 — not an official ranking. Exact rank matches were thin, so this includes neighboring numbers (±1).
Only 4 comparable cases since 2016 (need 8 for a range). Treat this as a thin sample, not a forecast.
- Y1
- O1
- S1
- K1
- M1
- M8
- M17
- J1
- J14
M15 now · median M6 · typical M5–M6. Higher on the sheet is left.
Outcome buckets
sample: since 2016, 4 cases
- Promote100%
- Same band0%
- Demote0%
Next rank
sample: since 2016, 4 cases
- M425%
- M525%
- M625%
- M925%