Tachiai estimate, since 2016 — not an official ranking. Exact rank matches were thin, so this includes neighboring numbers (±1).
Only 6 comparable cases since 2016 (need 8 for a range). Treat this as a thin sample, not a forecast.
- Y1
- O1
- S1
- K1
- M1
- M8
- M17
- J1
- J14
M10 now · median J6 · typical M11–J7. Higher on the sheet is left.
Outcome buckets
sample: since 2016, 6 cases
- Promote0%
- Same band33.3%
- Demote66.7%
Next rank
sample: since 2016, 6 cases
- M916.7%
- M1116.7%
- J416.7%
- J616.7%
- J716.7%
- J816.7%