Tachiai estimate, since 2016 — not an official ranking. Exact rank matches were thin, so this includes neighboring numbers (±1).
Only 2 comparable cases since 2016 (need 8 for a range). Treat this as a thin sample, not a forecast.
- Y1
- O1
- S1
- K1
- M1
- M8
- M17
- J1
- J14
M1 now · median M16 · typical M13–M16. Higher on the sheet is left.
Outcome buckets
sample: since 2016, 2 cases
- Promote0%
- Same band0%
- Demote100%
Next rank
sample: since 2016, 2 cases
- M1350%
- M1650%